Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.704249 5.075706 5.483581 5.968859 6.536194 7.185884 7.997368
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.269828 4.757188 5.325529 6.050604 6.972104 8.136583 9.779165
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.952379 4.516343 5.206838 6.141843 7.423965 9.209097 12.084565
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.780876 4.427111 5.257307 6.453186 8.236695 11.026745 16.410000
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.451639 4.101034 4.960105 6.247138 8.277834 11.734681 19.475691
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.295753 3.986270 4.933595 6.426422 8.968620 13.867375 28.027779
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.136875 3.851459 4.862815 6.529789 9.579932 16.263128 43.181014
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.927682 3.628015 4.638672 6.353331 9.646181 17.573509 61.228812
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.729184 3.404887 4.394028 6.108909 9.527812 18.424663 86.812676
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.690508 3.409943 4.499359 6.490510 10.860482 25.084027 1569.952776
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.728278 3.531556 4.805567 7.317869 13.735361 46.742114 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.642903 3.456668 4.777540 7.487853 15.040457 70.805026 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.492169 3.284059 4.591385 7.355273 15.610980 105.448309 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.365917 3.141418 4.444012 7.285240 16.448726 205.918596 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.257645 3.020043 4.322750 7.255727 17.531574 1084.490868 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.195384 2.969469 4.326712 7.536792 20.475652 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.067493 2.800427 4.089777 7.159031 19.774425 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.004391 2.736807 4.049878 7.295332 22.336874 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.938135 2.663155 3.982755 7.346325 24.703780 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.847808 2.542571 3.811321 7.067644 24.302930 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.758755 2.419970 3.627375 6.725839 23.117411 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.741010 2.420571 3.693028 7.136620 29.706891 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.758263 2.484156 3.898199 8.078635 51.650788 NaN NaN